Vlix Vlix

← Digital Marketing

What is retargeting, and does it actually work?

You looked at a pair of shoes once and now those shoes follow you across the internet for a fortnight. An ad that follows you after you visit a site is called retargeting. Advertisers are told retargeting is the cheapest thing in marketing: 10 times the click rate, half the cost per customer, free to set up. All three of those retargeting claims are true, but all three are misleading.

The short version:

  • The verdict: retargeting does not work, because it costs more than it brings in. Meta says a retargeted customer costs $22, but only about a quarter of those buyers needed the ad, so the real price is $80. Meta's ordinary ads find you a customer who never visited your site for $42 to $48.
  • Install the free Meta and Google tracking tag on your site anyway, for a reason other than retargeting. On your order-confirmation page the tag is the only way Meta and Google find out a sale happened. That sale report lets them tell you which ad worked and find strangers who resemble your existing customers.
  • Retargeting is not a new audience. Retargeting only shows ads again to people who already visited your site.
  • If your visitors arrived free, from search or word of mouth, retargeting them takes no money from finding new customers. Retargeting free visitors is worth a test, but an $80 retargeted customer still costs more than a $45 customer from ordinary ads, so your product's price decides whether it pays.
  • A tracking tag on your page tells Meta or Google which logged-in account visited your site, so inside Meta's and Google's own apps there is no guessing who to show the ad to.
  • A retargeting audience is free to set up. Both Google and Meta now run a retargeting audience of as few as 100 people, though ads reach an audience of under 1,000 people erratically.
  • The retargeting numbers Meta and Google report to you are real. Retargeting ads get around 10x the click rate of ordinary display ads shown to strangers. They convert roughly 3.8% against 2.2% for ads that are not retargeted. Meta and Google report up to 50% lower cost per customer.
  • Ad blockers, cookie consent and Safari's privacy rules remove most of your retargeting audience. 29.5% of internet users run ad blockers. Only 42% to 47% of visitors accept cookies where consent is asked. Safari caps cookies at 7 days (24 hours from an ad click). Together, those rules leave a site with 10,000 visitors a month able to reach about 2,600.
  • App retargeting on iPhones is largely broken without permission from Apple's App Tracking Transparency prompt, which only 15% to 30% of iPhone users grant.

Retargeting buys a second conversation with traffic you own

Ordinary advertising pays to reach strangers who have never heard of you. Retargeting buys a list of people who already did something: visited a page, watched a video, added to a cart or installed an app.

Type of retargetingWhat puts someone on the listWhere the ad then appearsHow well it works next to other retargetingIs it even available to a small product
Site retargetingLoading any page carrying your tagAny platform whose pixel you installed, plus the open display networkMost volume and the steadiest delivery of the seven retargeting typesYes, this is the default retargeting type
Cart or checkout abandonmentReaching a specific deep page and not convertingThe same places as site retargeting, but with a much sharper messageThe best-converting slice of retargeting, though its results are still the platform's own reported numbersOnly if you have a multi-step checkout
Customer list (CRM) retargetingYou upload hashed emails or phone numbersAnywhere the platform can match the accountDepends on match rate, the share of uploaded emails matched to accounts, typically 60% to 80%Yes, and a customer list keeps working when cookies are blocked
Engagement retargetingWatching your video or opening your lead formInside that platform onlyWeaker intent to buy than a site visit shows, but far more peopleYes, and it needs no website at all
Dynamic product retargetingViewing a specific product, which is then shown back to youDisplay and social, as an auto-generated product adWorse than generic ads on average, per published researchNo, needs a product catalogue feed
App retargetingInstalling or opening your appOther apps, via the mobile advertising IDLargely broken on iOS without tracking consentRarely, and almost never on iOS
Search retargeting (RLSA)Visiting your site, then later searching on GoogleGoogle search results, at an adjusted bidHigh intent: these people are searching and already know your siteYes, but only if you already run search ads
The one row worth arguing with

Dynamic retargeting, the shoes-following-you-around kind, is on average the worst performing form. In a field experiment by marketing researchers Anja Lambrecht and Catherine Tucker, published in the Journal of Marketing Research, showing people the exact product they had browsed was less effective than a generic brand ad, except for people whose preferences had clearly moved on.

A tag on your page hands your visitor identity to Meta

You tell Meta who visited your site, and Meta already has that visitor logged in to Facebook or Instagram. A Meta pixel identifies your visitor in four steps:

1. You paste a free snippet of JavaScript, called a pixel or tag, into your site's <head>.Setup
2. A visitor's browser runs that code, which calls Meta's servers with the cookie from their Facebook or Instagram login, so Meta already knows who that is.Identify
3. Meta records "account #4471 visited your /pricing page at 14:02" in your ad audience.Store
4. Next time account #4471 opens Instagram, you can bid to show them your ad, with no guesswork.Serve

Outside Meta, Google and TikTok, where people are not logged in, recognising a visitor is much less reliable.

How you get recognisedWhat the match is actually based onHow reliable it isWhat breaks itWorks across devices
Meta pixel, logged-in accountTheir Facebook or Instagram login, read as a first-party cookie on Meta's own domainDeterministic: an exact match, because Meta both runs the tag and holds the loginAd blockers and consent refusals stop the tag firingYes, because the Meta ID belongs to the person, not the device
Google tag, Google accountTheir signed-in Google identity, plus the click ID on ad trafficDeterministic (an exact match) where signed in, weaker where notSigned-out browsing, consent mode, ad blockersYes, where signed in
Hashed email upload (Customer Match)You upload emails, the platform hashes and matches them to accounts60% to 80% match rate of uploaded emails, and cookie blocking does not affect itPeople using a different email with the platformYes, and an uploaded email list survives every other privacy block
Server-side events (Conversions API)Your own server posts the event to the platform, not the browserRecovers 20% to 40% of the events the browser tag would have lost, not all of themNeeds real engineering to implement properlyOnly where you can identify the user yourself
Third-party cookie and cookie syncingAd tech firms swap ID tables so two cookies can be agreed to be one browserLeaky: every handover between ad tech firms loses matchesSafari and Firefox block it outright, and it works less well in Chrome every yearNo, it identifies a browser, not a person
Mobile advertising ID (IDFA, GAID)A device-level identifier passed between appsCollapsed on iOS since App Tracking Transparency15% to 30% opt-in on iOS leaves too few iPhones to retargetNo, it is one device

The same tag on your order page is the only way Meta and Google learn you made a sale

A phone taking a photo, an arrow, and the same photo being pasted on a computer

Use Camera to Clipboard to move a photo off a phone with no upload

The usual way to move a photo from a phone to a computer is to email it to yourself or put it in a cloud album, which hands it to a company for no reason. Camera to Clipboard, one of my own apps, sends the photo straight from the phone to the computer instead.

Set the tag up anyway, because it makes all your ads work

Start the tag before you need it

A retargeting audience is built only from visits that have already happened, so deciding in November to advertise a December launch means starting with an audience of zero. Set every retargeting audience to the longest membership period the platform allows from day one, because visits that were never recorded cannot be recovered.

Ad platforms differ in the smallest retargeting audience each will show ads to and how long each remembers a visit. Installing a platform's free tag can be worth it even when buying its retargeting ads is not.

PlatformSmallest audience it will runHow long someone stays on the listWhat you installWorth installing the tag
Meta (Facebook, Instagram)100 people technically, 1,000+ before delivery is stableUp to 180 days for website visitorsMeta pixel, plus Conversions API if you canYes. Meta's tag is what measures and aims your ordinary campaigns, whether or not you ever retarget
Google Ads100 active users across Search, Display and YouTube (was 1,000 on Search)Up to 540 days on Display, 180 on SearchGoogle tag, or GA4 audiences linked to AdsYes. Google's tag measures and aims your ordinary Google campaigns, and it feeds GA4 (Google Analytics) as well
Microsoft Ads (Bing)300 people before it will serve the list at all180 days, and that is a hard cap you cannot raiseThe UET tagOnly if you already run Bing search ads
TikTok1,000 people for a custom audienceUp to 180 daysTikTok pixel or Events APIOnly if you already advertise on TikTok
Pinterest100 matches on an uploaded customer list; Pinterest publishes no floor for site visitorsUp to 540 days, tied with Google Display for the longest period of any platform in this tableThe Pinterest tagNo unless you already advertise on Pinterest
Snapchat1,000 people, the highest minimum of any self-serve platform in this tableUp to 395 daysThe Snap PixelNo unless you already advertise on Snapchat
LinkedIn300 people and a high minimum price per impressionUp to 365 daysLinkedIn Insight TagOnly if you sell B2B and already advertise on LinkedIn
Reddit and XAround 100 to 300, varies by objectiveTypically 180 daysTheir own pixelNo. Small audiences and few places to show the ads
Third-party networks (AdRoll, Criteo)Effectively thousands of visitors to be worth their feeVaries by contractTheir tag, plus a monthly platform feeNever. A monthly fee for reach that barely works any more

Two settings matter more than any bid you will place

It clicks 10 times more and converts twice as well, both real

The statistics quoted in every retargeting pitch are mostly accurate. What goes wrong is what advertisers take those retargeting statistics to mean.

The claim you will be shownThe numberIs it actually trueWhat it really proves
"Retargeting clicks 10x better than display"0.7% against 0.07% for standard displayYes, and newer data sets put the retargeting click rate at 0.9% to 1.2%That the click rate of standard display ads is catastrophically low, not that retargeting is strong
"It converts far better than cold"3.8% against 2.2% non-retargetedYes, and retargeting converts 3x to 5x as well as ads shown to pure strangersThat people who already visited you are closer to buying, which you knew
"It halves your cost per customer"Up to 50% lower reported CPATrue as reported, but it is the platforms' own reported figure, not a measured oneNothing, until the lower cost survives a holdout test that withholds ads from a random group
"Retargeting CPMs are cheaper"$5 to $15 against $12 to $20 broad coldContested: other data sets show audiences of past visitors at the highest cost per 1,000 impressionsBoth happen: an ad relevant to past visitors costs less, but a tiny audience pushes the price back up
"Retargeting lifts return visits"14.6% more users returned within four weeksYes, and this one is causal: a randomised field experimentA real measured effect: retargeting caused more people to come back

The first four retargeting claims compare people who saw retargeting with people who did not, and those two groups were never comparable. Only the return-visits figure comes from an experiment, so it is the only claim that shows retargeting ads caused anything.

The ads reach people who were going to buy anyway

Sales Meta says the campaign produced8,000
Purchases made by the exposed 80% of the audience12,200
Purchases made by the held-out 20%, scaled to the same size10,000
Purchases the advertising actually caused, which is 27.5% of the reported figure2,200
27.5% of the sales Meta and Google credit to retargeting typically survive a randomised holdout test. So every reported retargeting cost per customer has to be divided by about four.

The error runs both ways, so neither dashboard is right

How you are measuringWhat it actually countsWhich way it gets it wrongHow hard it is to runShould you believe it
Platform-reported conversionsAnyone who converted after clicking, or often just after seeing, your adClaims far too much: Meta and Google measure the results of the ads they sold youZero effort, it is the default report in your ad accountOnly as a trend line, never as the true number of sales
Last-click analytics (GA4)Only conversions where the ad click was the final touchClaims far too little: measured at 11x too low in one experimentZero effort, already installedNo, especially where most people see the ad without clicking it
Platform conversion lift studyA randomised no-ads control group run by the platform itselfRoughly right, though the platform designs the testModerate: needs minimum spend to qualifyYes, the most accurate answer for the effort
Your own audience holdoutThe difference between a random exposed group and a random excluded oneThe actual answer for your accountModerate: a week of setup, weeks of patienceYes, this is the most reliable method
Geo holdoutTurning retargeting off entirely in some regions and comparing them with matched regionsClean and causal, but bluntHard: needs scale and matched marketsYes, if you are big enough to run it
Eyeballing it after switching it onEvery other change that month, mixed in with the effect of the adsUnbounded in both directionsNoneNo

Your audience cannot exceed your traffic, minus three quarters

Here is what happens to the retargeting audience of a site with 10,000 monthly visitors, which is more traffic than most independent products have:

Monthly website visitors10,000
Minus the 29.5% who run an ad blocker7,050
Minus consent refusals, at 42% to 47% average acceptance where consent is required3,170
Minus Safari's 7-day cookie cap, on its 24% browser share2,590
Share of your visitors you can actually put an ad in front of~26%
What eats your audienceWhat it doesHow much it costs youCan you do anything about it
The traffic ceiling itselfYou cannot retarget people who never cameAbsolute: your traffic caps all of your retargetingNo: the only fix is more traffic
Ad blockersBlock the pixel from loading, so the visit is never recorded29.5% of users globally, 32.5% in the US, 38% to 40% in the UKPartly: server-side events recover some blocked visits
Cookie consentNo consent, no tracking, in the EU, UK and increasingly elsewhere42% to 47% average acceptance, under 25% in some countriesSomewhat: the design of the consent banner changes the acceptance rate a lot
Safari ITPCaps JavaScript cookies at 7 days, and at 24 hours from an ad clickGuts long windows (audiences kept longer than 7 days) for the 24% of users on SafariPartly: server-side tagging restores longer lifetimes
Apple's App Tracking TransparencyRemoves the device ID that app-to-app retargeting depends onOnly 15% to 30% opt in, so the number of iPhones you can retarget collapsedBarely: sending people from a web page into the app is the workaround
Third-party cookie declineOpen-web display retargeting depends on cookies Safari and Firefox already blockChrome kept them (third-party cookies) after Google reversed course, but retargeting through them keeps getting less reliableYes: retarget inside Meta and Google, where people are logged in
The platform minimumAn audience under the platform's minimum size will not be shown ads100 people to run at all, ~1,000 to run reliablyYes: keep people on the list for longer, or combine audiences
Two phones, one recording and one replaying, joined by arrows into a hands-free loop

Use Repeat Recorder to rehearse a demo video instead of buying ads

Under roughly 4,000 monthly visitors there is nobody to retarget, so what matters is making strangers turn up, usually with a two minute video of the product working. Repeat Recorder, another of my own apps, records you and plays each take straight back without you touching the phone.

A small audience forces you past the creepiness cliff

Showing the same person an ad too often is almost always an arithmetic accident rather than a decision.

Your reachable retargeting audience, from the chain above2,590
A modest monthly retargeting budget$200
At a $10 CPM, that budget buys impressions20,000
Times each person sees your ad this month7.7
The counter-intuitive fix

If people see your retargeting ad too many times a week, the answer is usually to spend less, not to change the ad. Cap each person at around 3 to 5 views per week and put the rest of the budget into finding new people.

Its cheap cost per customer is partly an accounting illusion

What you are comparingAdvertising to strangersRetargetingWhy the gap exists
Cost per 1,000 impressions$12 to $20 for broad targeting of strangers$5 to $15, but small audiences of past visitors can cost moreRelevant ads earn a lower price, but advertisers competing for a tiny audience push it back up
Cost per clickAround $0.30 to $1.00 on Meta$0.50 to $1.20, dearer per click but far more clicks per impressionA higher click rate offsets the dearer click, so the two end up close
Conversion rate of that traffic0.7% to 1.5%, typical for strangers3.8%, up to 3x to 5x the rate for strangersSelection: these people already chose to visit you
Cost per customer Meta and Google report$42 to $48 on Meta, $49 on Google SearchUp to 50% lower, about $22 on MetaMeta and Google count sales the retargeting ads did not cause
Cost per customer after a holdoutRoughly what it said. Strangers were not already trying to buyAbout $80, which is more than a stranger costsDivide the reported figure by the share the ads really caused
Can you scale it by spending moreYes, until you exhaust the marketNo: extra budget buys repetition, not reachThe audience is fixed by last month's traffic, not by your budget
What happens if you cut itYour retargeting list shrinks next monthNothing else is affectedRetargeting is built from the visitors that advertising to strangers brings in, never a substitute for it
Monthly retargeting spend$2,200
Customers Meta reports, at the benchmark $22 each100
How many of those 100 the ads actually caused, at the 27.5% a holdout typically finds27.5
What one real customer actually cost you, which is $2,200 divided by 27.5$80.00
$80 is what a "$22 per customer" retargeting campaign really costs, because most of those buyers never needed the ad. That is more than the same platform charges for a total stranger, which is $42 to $48 on Meta and $49 on Google Search.
The most expensive misunderstanding

A cheap reported cost per customer is not a discount you can scale into. The retargeting list only exists because money spent on strangers created it, so moving that money leaves nobody to retarget. Advertisers typically budget 20% to 30% of ad spend for retargeting, but at $80 a retargeted customer against $42 to $48 for a stranger, the better answer is zero.

Work out what retargeting would cost you specifically

Three questions decide whether retargeting pays for you: how many people can you reach, how often will they see your ad, and what does one real customer cost. Set your own numbers in the calculator, or use its presets.

A free audience is additive but still not cheaper

Many visitors arrive free, from search, forums or friends.

A subject page converts worse but proves more

Take an accent training app that publishes an article on how accents form, read by people who came to learn, not to buy.

Free article readers are worth more as email signups and a seed for similar strangers

The three ways a visitor reaches a retargeting list, side by side:

How the visitor got to youWhat the audience costs youDoes spending here shrink your other advertisingHow many of the sales the ads really causeShould you spend money on it
They clicked one of your adsThe price of the click, which is most of your ad budgetYes. Moving ad money into retargeting makes next month's list smallerAbout 27.5%. Visitors who clicked an ad were already shoppingNo. $80 a customer against $42 to $48 for a stranger
They found you in search and looked at your productNothing, and search traffic keeps arrivingNo. Search traffic comes whether or not you advertiseStill about 27.5%. Arriving free does not make them less likely to buy anywayWorth testing, because finding out costs nothing
They read your article on the subject and never saw your productNothingNoBetter than 27.5%. Article readers were not shopping, so fewer of their sales would have happened without the adNo. Article readers buy far less often, and they are worth more as a seed for finding similar strangers
Where not to start

Google Display ads are the most expensive place to retarget. Corrected for the sales the ads really caused, a customer costs about $138 on Google Display against $95 on Google Search and $80 on Meta, compared with every other channel.

Seven of the ten reasons to retarget are a straight no

The retargeting industry names ten situations when it tells you to run retargeting.

Your situationShould you spend money on itWhyWhat to do instead
Pre-launch, no traffic yetNo. There is nobody to retargetThe list is built from past visits and you have noneInstall the tag anyway, for conversion tracking rather than for retargeting
Under 1,000 visitors a monthNo. Not even closeRoughly 260 reachable people are too few for the platforms to show ads steadilySpend the same money and effort on getting more traffic
5,000 to 50,000 visitors, considered purchaseOnly as a test, with a holdout running from day oneBig enough to deliver, but a real customer still costs more than a stranger doesCap the spend at what you can afford to write off, and measure it properly
Ecommerce with cart abandonmentThe strongest case here, worth testingReported $13 a customer, or about $47 after dividing by the 27.5% a holdout typically finds, the only situation in this table near the $42 to $48 a stranger costsA 7-day cart audience only, and hold out a random slice to see what it really did
Free iOS app with in-app purchasesNo.App-to-app retargeting needs tracking consent that 70% to 85% of people refuseNothing. Put the money into finding new people
B2B SaaS with a long sales cycleNo, and LinkedIn charges a premium on topLong decisions do favour reminders, but a LinkedIn impression is the dearest in the tableEmail your list of leads yourself. Email costs nothing and reaches those leads properly
Cheap impulse product, instant decisionNo.If shoppers did not buy a cheap impulse product on their first visit, they mostly never willImprove that first visit to your site instead
You have an email list of past signupsEmail them instead. It is freeUploading the list to Meta means paying to reach people you can already reach for nothingEmail the list directly. Only upload the list to Meta if email has already failed
Organic visitors who looked at your productWorth testing, because the test itself is freeThe audience is free and takes nothing from your other advertising, but a caused customer still costs more than a strangerHold out a random slice from day one, and seed a lookalike audience from those visitors either way
Organic readers of your content, who never saw your productNo. Use them as a seed insteadContent readers were never shopping, so they buy far less often than the shoppers behind the $22 benchmarkTake their email on the page, and hand them to Meta or Google to find similar strangers

The setup that wastes the least money if you run it

A phone taking a photo, an arrow, and the same photo being pasted on a computer

Use Camera to Clipboard to photograph the product your ads show

If most of the money goes on finding new people, the picture in the ad does the persuading, and a plain image of the product usually beats an automated feed of the thing somebody walked away from. Camera to Clipboard, one of my own apps, is a phone camera that pastes.

Illustration: a figure on a hilltop at the end of a winding path, holding a green check mark above their head

Conclusion: retargeting costs more than it brings in